CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb204ad7415f6cd0a5acb1def811360acf9fac017fad88ebebb680e5e3729f8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $996,965 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,002 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 40,300$24,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,313.97 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 35,486$13,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,562.97 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 31,232$8,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333.94 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 24,326$9,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,342.56 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 19,432$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 18,098$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,697.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 18,000$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.87 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 16,826$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.43 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 16,352$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.35 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 15,771$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.09 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.97 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 13,759$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.29 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 13,180$8,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.7 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 13,172$8,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 12,936$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.87 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 12,218$7,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.97 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 10,000$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 9,901$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 9,901$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 9,868$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 8,471$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.83 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 8,261$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.25 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 7,491$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 7,386$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.69 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 7,311$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.38 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 7,294$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.58 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,914$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.36 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 6,854$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.04 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 6,512$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.82 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 6,503$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.09 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,500$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fe…3688backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,267$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…68b1backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 5,594$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 5,568$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 5,184$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.6 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,079$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.37 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.98 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 4,546$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,541$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.58 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,504$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.26 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 4,255$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.53 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 4,138$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.87 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 3,994$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.37 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,927$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.39 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,885$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.27 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,835$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,717$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.49 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,633$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,607$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.57 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,596$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.51 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,449$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.36 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 3,375$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.17 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 3,160$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,032$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,006$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.95 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 2,735$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.76 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,698$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,690$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.31 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,678$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,650$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.6 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,563$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.32 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 2,535$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.83 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,520$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.8 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,506$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.94 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 2,500$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,443$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.18 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,421$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.58 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 2,372$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.09 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,289$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.95 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,258$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,250$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.49 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 2,232$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 2,217$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.87 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…c0f6backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,208$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,174$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.98 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,124$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,100$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,078$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,060$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.29 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…a879backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…c026backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,898$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,814$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.77 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9d…1da9backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,755$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…b346backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,708$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.