TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,996 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x966c…f979backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…3f9ebacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c9,628$5,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.623,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over37c8,389$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.3833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…aa09backed Under52c7,277$3,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…930bbacked Over48c7,265$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e20…057abacked Over48c6,935$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bde…4a4abacked Under52c6,926$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c6,370$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.613,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c5,459$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.721,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe39…461ebacked Under50c4,439$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.5560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…b4a7backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Under50c3,874$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+69.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Over50c3,097$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54611643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50010947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c1,984$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Over51c1,962$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over41c1,125$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Over50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under51c911.6$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under48c799.93$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.461,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over44c744.07$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0220238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under50c722$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36128549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over55c541.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.952060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc778…8d85backed Under65c535.27$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.683053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over49c515.52$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6135940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Under50c416$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20810841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090d…8265backed Over66c411.06$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0359…fda7backed Over50c399.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under50c355.64$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8215141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over67c296.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under50c274$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13715756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under51c271.37$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9710945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c258.49$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under42c255.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.441,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Over35c245.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8924134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c237.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.751,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over40c234.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9916047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under58c217.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over49c204.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c196.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under49c159.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.593043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Over23c158.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Over49c148.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fb…c145backed Under50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8d…b8afbacked Over51c136.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Under68c132.72$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7239157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under52c124.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.935648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over36c113.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0227556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50df…d1e7backed Over57c110.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.752948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Over56c107.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.41per pick63cpaid-65.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf91…5010backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f22…9d96backed Over51c98.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505450%27 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x060f…34c0backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7d…2281backed Over43c95.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Over51c94.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.095450%27 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29df…6b6abacked Over57c93.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under73c88.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.073842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under49c85.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.846536.9%24 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under61c85.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.424841.1%102 W · 146 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over56c79.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.718459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over54c76.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.171631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick57cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under58c75.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8310347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Under50c70.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.424346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under56c70.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.175957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over49c69.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7823057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Over51c69.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.354942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Over30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61ed…6acdbacked Over50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Over38c61.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4443239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over34c61.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f5f…517cbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over22c58.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under71c58.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7612469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8545224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.