Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa2b4ae13a3c3e8187884dc12188de2a9c2244ea9def7aed79f8ee662fee8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof 1win, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed 1win | 56c | 1,895$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,498$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.62 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked 1win | 58c | 1,344$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.46 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed 1win | 56c | 1,139$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed 1win | 65c | 1,053$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 52c | 859.81$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 41c | 814.36$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 53c | 745.19$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.85 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 725.75$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 665.37$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.54 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 69c | 532.13$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 495.08$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 460.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.54 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed 1win | 54c | 417.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 1win | 55c | 409.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed 1win | 58c | 369.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 1win | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 277.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 1win | 60c | 250.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 245.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 242.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 1win | 57c | 211.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked 1win | 50c | 203.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 202.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 201.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 196.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed 1win | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…5574backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 191.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 180.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 179.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…b88fbacked 1win | 67c | 175.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 159.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed 1win | 30c | 157.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 154.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 137.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…8d6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 136.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 1win | 57c | 123.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 121.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 118.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 109.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 36c | 104.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed 1win | 48c | 100.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed 1win | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked 1win | 55c | 99.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed 1win | 62c | 98.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 88.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 41c | 86.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…5b77backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 78.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 77.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 77.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 75.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 73.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 71.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 1win | 61c | 67.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed 1win | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 62.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe1…a26bbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…bb29backed 1win | 51c | 56.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 55.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed 1win | 63c | 52.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 51.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 1win | 49c | 50.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1win | 49c | 50.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked 1win | 39c | 50.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed 1win | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 48.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked 1win | 40c | 48.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 47.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed 1win | 61c | 46.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 57c | 45.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…6fcdbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 43.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1win | 61c | 43.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed 1win | 26c | 42.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked 1win | 36c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…c6acbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed 1win | 54c | 39.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed 1win | 71c | 34.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed 1win | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed 1win | 33c | 30.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 29.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 1win | 42c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked 1win | 61c | 25.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked 1win | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Athis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.