Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503fe74f6528cd7874088f2c1d93caf22ac5cf5e54b8bb45d1a67273c8638e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof 1win, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 3,097$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.23 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 63c | 1,597$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.86 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 1,281$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,179$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 26c | 1,125$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 64c | 887.39$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.17 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 875.17$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.34 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed 1win | 60c | 728.53$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 685.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.67 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 47c | 673.36$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.33 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 33c | 638.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 613.61$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.54 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 546.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.46 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win | 60c | 537.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.52 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 57c | 532.85$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 55c | 514.78$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 439.03$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed 1win | 47c | 412.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed 1win | 48c | 408.88$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed 1win | 36c | 396.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 1win | 75c | 297.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked 1win | 75c | 279.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 60c | 265.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 1win | 51c | 262.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 244$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 239.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…36c9backed 1win | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 58c | 196.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 188.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed 1win | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked 1win | 68c | 145.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed 1win | 71c | 131.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed 1win | 55c | 127.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed 1win | 76c | 99.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 98.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 91.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked 1win | 67c | 88.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked 1win | 54c | 76.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 68.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed 1win | 60c | 52.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked 1win | 70c | 51.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 47.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe1…a26bbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…7ab8backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 33.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 33.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…ce6fbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked 1win | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 29.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 65c | 22.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed 1win | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…b6c5backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.