TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b05…078a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Movies, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT11052.7%58 W · 52 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.08
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$25.55
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$8.75
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.77
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Dynasty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$13.22
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$11.87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.45
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.42
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$5.42
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.85
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.08
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$10.77
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MODUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$4.31
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$2.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.63
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.84
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39%+$13.81
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Stage Deciderbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.46
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.47
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$38.67
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.91
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.