Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735d7c4d34e2101de5e20a7f420a0e36ba220f9acff94e416bf1ab324e0d392b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 72c | 7,277$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.68 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 0c | 6,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 5,298$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.68 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 5,222$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.41 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 3,912$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.27 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,777$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.71 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 77c | 3,545$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.63 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 3,279$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.56 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 3,100$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,972$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.99 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,750$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.49 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,652$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.54 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 2,469$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.67 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,432$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.33 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,189$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.61 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,974$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.37 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,928$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.43 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 1,833$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.45 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,642$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.29 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,606$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.45 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,590$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.47 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,585$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,580$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.22 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,576$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,550$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.03 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,518$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.76 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,508$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.53 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,465$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.22 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,400$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,316$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.24 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,257$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,187$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,117$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…02f3backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,029$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 979.79$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.13 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 940.89$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 826.63$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.33 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 825.28$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 64c | 800.7$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 765.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 748.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 740.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PARIVISION | 67c | 658.08$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 645.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 640$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 629$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 600$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 587.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed PARIVISION | 67c | 585.19$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 576.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…7428backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 572.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 539.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 67c | 474.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 434.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 408.83$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 399.91$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 382.8$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 382.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 358.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 349.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 347.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 337.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 334.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 333.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 315.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 307.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 298.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PARIVISION | 68c | 298.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 280.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 77c | 274.51$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 269.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed PARIVISION | 76c | 260.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 252.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 225.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 218.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 64c | 209.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 206.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed PARIVISION | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 71c | 196.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 195$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 194.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 65c | 193.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 192.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed PARIVISION | 76c | 191.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 188.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 185.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 184.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 166.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 160.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 156.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 155.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO5) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+2.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.