Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO5) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf4112db4a16b5836288e1ad702b16195b53aa92dbf238e0b4ba1667ed636aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 17,095$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…eeeabacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 12,390$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 12,246$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.61 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 5,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.55 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 4,359$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.16 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 3,813$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 3,350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.44 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 2,701$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.22 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 2,080$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 1,993$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.03 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 1,588$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…b044backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 1,485$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 1,196$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 959.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 859.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…7428backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 846.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 796.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 745.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 579.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 557.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 543.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 537.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 530.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…80b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 487.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…34d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 468.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…a22abacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 445.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 442.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 430.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 398.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 394.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 330.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 294.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 292.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 282.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 236.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 235.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 189.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…f672backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 173.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 103.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…4c94backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…09c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…cc05backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 95.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO5) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+2.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.