TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION76c5,245$3,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.1329143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy27c4,580$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.0351049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Nigma Galaxy62c3,876$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.4313068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION66c3,839$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.5196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy40c3,326$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Nigma Galaxy24c3,114$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.298042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy23c3,000$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy25c2,908$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.8268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy11c2,792$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9847046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Nigma Galaxy24c2,386$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.6426843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy13c2,221$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5425935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy37c2,127$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy25c2,049$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.1636547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy22c2,017$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.722643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy28c1,829$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.442,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION77c1,775$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION42c1,358$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.4199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Nigma Galaxy47c1,267$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.5817454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9960646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy57c949.67$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6830356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION69c907.32$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3136759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy31c858.64$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION65c818.68$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.831,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy20c764.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.31,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy23c750$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.580742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION77c749.51$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3919847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed PARIVISION78c657.41$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy21c636.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy20c618.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION70c599.28$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.331,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy24c533.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8648539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bd…4c63backed Nigma Galaxy12c519.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed PARIVISION78c507.08$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.44647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Nigma Galaxy22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011644.8%52 W · 64 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION71c499.98$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION51c492.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6651364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Nigma Galaxy23c476.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6836343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ed…7103backed PARIVISION75c464.8$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Nigma Galaxy49c456.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.117429.7%22 W · 52 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed PARIVISION59c453.22$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4611150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy19c428.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9852649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Nigma Galaxy24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.443554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Nigma Galaxy25c389.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1419145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…ea40backed Nigma Galaxy25c388.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.813925.6%10 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef4…53efbacked PARIVISION50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked PARIVISION74c380.08$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8240644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy22c373.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4651140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e87…b044backed Nigma Galaxy23c339.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION60c312.87$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4277458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy17c311.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.251,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked PARIVISION46c305$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.717954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION78c302.92$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0221650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed Nigma Galaxy17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed PARIVISION77c299.1$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.791485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+53.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy30c292.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6224137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nigma Galaxy14c291.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.169033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked PARIVISION43c288.18$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1725147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy26c270$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.759257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION75c269.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy25c268.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8557735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed PARIVISION50c263.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5929347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed PARIVISION77c262.78$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4560251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION77c259.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6553844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1912…def8backed Nigma Galaxy52c251.96$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.714656.2%82 W · 64 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed PARIVISION79c249.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7846049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed PARIVISION80c248.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.634351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Nigma Galaxy32c241.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.553237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c9…6b8bbacked Nigma Galaxy37c237.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1510950.5%55 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked PARIVISION75c230.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6325246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy24c224.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9765337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy28c213.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed PARIVISION75c210$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.511654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy23c203.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Nigma Galaxy30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbce…6e3fbacked PARIVISION45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Nigma Galaxy26c195.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3822534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy60c195.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1292056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Nigma Galaxy22c193.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.939140.7%37 W · 54 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked PARIVISION46c181.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7814747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Nigma Galaxy29c169.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9636044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy39c149.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6125253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy19c144.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9530250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4898…a723backed Nigma Galaxy52c140.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.983318.2%6 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed Nigma Galaxy24c139.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.46266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed PARIVISION80c136.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3755561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked PARIVISION76c134.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3291356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy25c133.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4329240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION76c128.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4817373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nigma Galaxy23c125$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5535032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked PARIVISION66c122.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.420954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Nigma Galaxy31c117.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7916232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked PARIVISION63c116.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33959%23 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked PARIVISION62c114.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0919951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed PARIVISION75c112.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.044654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy14c110.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4826956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy14c108.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.764123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.