TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d11…99cabacked Nigma Galaxy4c17,273$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.144734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION75c6,231$4,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.856955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy25c6,094$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.2722643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION77c5,987$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.1919847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2be…02f3backed Nigma Galaxy8c4,157$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.67425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Nigma Galaxy22c3,990$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.038749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION75c3,364$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.340051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy23c3,200$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74088539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION76c3,002$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.4125248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Nigma Galaxy22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66022647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy21c2,402$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8041…05d6backed PARIVISION75c2,385$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.343053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy30c2,355$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.4825246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION79c2,281$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.751,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy26c2,205$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy10c2,158$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…ea40backed Nigma Galaxy19c2,047$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.063925.6%10 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION78c2,031$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.215848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy15c2,028$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30647046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy24c2,026$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.321,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION77c1,999$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION78c1,974$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.1924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION76c1,972$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7835951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy22c1,952$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4625935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION76c1,522$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1649455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy13c1,429$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5568649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy23c1,417$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy22c999.1$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9239343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d36…51debacked Nigma Galaxy5c959.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.675330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION80c853.2$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6436759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Nigma Galaxy22c745.23$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.958042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION78c689.27$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6433549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy17c649.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.822,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy22c584.79$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6595342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Nigma Galaxy20c571.2$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2418156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION75c559$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION77c530.99$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1316945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked PARIVISION70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy25c472.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.461,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy23c408.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.440047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Nigma Galaxy24c398.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4464149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy25c349.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy22c336.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8161745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy7c298.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked PARIVISION78c296.94$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3332148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy19c267.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8173743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Nigma Galaxy12c246.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.559639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy6c235.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy29c231.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0257735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy20c213.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION76c200.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION78c197.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nigma Galaxy21c188.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6118649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy26c163.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4380742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Nigma Galaxy22c132.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.173237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked PARIVISION75c130.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.275749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy24c119.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed PARIVISION78c110.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2555561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Nigma Galaxy23c102$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4631835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76af…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked PARIVISION70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3040745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9d…cb94backed Nigma Galaxy13c94.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy17c83.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.376048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION76c72.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2836761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed PARIVISION71c69.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.367853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…81b9backed PARIVISION74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy24c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3286451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea29…0fc5backed PARIVISION76c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Nigma Galaxy25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.595841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Nigma Galaxy30c47.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.299555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed PARIVISION78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+53.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed PARIVISION78c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.576657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbe…0b07backed PARIVISION79c25.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.