TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a95…c382

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+53.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$193.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$190.45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$148
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$114.19
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.29
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$115.81
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$69.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$68.79
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+97.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29%+$60.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.76
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.