TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9615044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c4,133$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.174,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No37c3,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9814250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c2,809$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.013,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.17241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes63c1,873$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.827468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes63c1,621$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.916457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes50c1,433$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.1520843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes55c1,204$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c725.11$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.611,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c713.9$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.621,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c700.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes63c682.91$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c567.28$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes55c499.81$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9110046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes63c474.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.693357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes64c459.71$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8411264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c449.6$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.271,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Yes51c428.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.381040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes63c399.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9911551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed No11c362.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No55c320.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3420360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No55c320.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43fc…9728backed Yes63c319.06$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.051330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes40c314$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.44332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes36c309.85$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c302.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.942,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes55c290.36$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6631952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes62c277.4$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4113263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No59c247.79$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0222455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No58c246.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c241.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-79.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Yes40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c218.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes60c208.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.961,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes66c200.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.136879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed Yes33c199.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+97.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No56c198.77$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.193979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c196.53$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No51c190.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.117856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No59c189.39$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.846373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c183.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.281,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No54c180.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2916456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7234252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No13c177.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Yes45c174.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.166963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No56c172.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No57c172.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4210957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x554a…077cbacked Yes62c159.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes53c151.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5626241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c137.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5741323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No48c125.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5117659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c122.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes77c110.46$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes62c110.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9311350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c2…7291backed Yes37c107.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No40c105.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2310329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No47c99.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.796982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes47c92.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.917851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed No59c90.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes62c88.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.787159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No43c87.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.16165.6%40 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No59c82.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.772969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No44c75.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.079050%45 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes38c74.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.617744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No44c64.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.393865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes60c63.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.543834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Yes58c60.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.351968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No52c57.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0218062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No62c57.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.322259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No53c55.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.387954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No50c54.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes59c49.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.294271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes74c49.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0463553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes63c48.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0923855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes62c48.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.575451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes40c48.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No42c47.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0112470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No39c45.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.818229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No43c42.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No58c41.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3711566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No59c41.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes56c40.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked No60c40.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…7984backed Yes50c39.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Yes50c39.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes57c38.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6420947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes63c38.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.361752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes63c38.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.367060%42 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No38c36.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.931827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No41c34.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2719260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No41c33.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6710561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Yes61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No41c31.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031989.5%17 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c30.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked No44c30.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.541384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+83%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No49c30.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7311266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.