La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428fc4c6715efcdc99c98f9bc5b384643436698b237a1a5868363afaaaac7606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,553$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,322$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 1,158$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 978.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 713$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 12c | 632.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 10c | 586.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 15c | 403.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 16c | 334.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed No | 65c | 294.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 287.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 202.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed No | 65c | 156.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…81c2backed No | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 148.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 18c | 114.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 111.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 101.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 15c | 101.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 16c | 96.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 15c | 75.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 57.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked No | 64c | 45.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked No | 66c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed No | 64c | 28.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will UD Almería vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.