Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa80a5e2cc135e37e7c30885d79751ae79e687c759203f7fca79081c4637b05aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 2,451$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 2,198$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 1,420$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 36c | 696.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 582.31$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 569.15$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 511.5$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 47c | 440.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 415.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 59c | 396$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 305.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 284.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 262.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 255$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 41c | 243.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 19c | 219.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 45c | 211.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…c382backed Over | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 192.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 176.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…5546backed Over | 31c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…37e4backed Over | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…63b6backed Under | 75c | 141.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 42c | 109.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 104.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Under | 63c | 94.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 41c | 81.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…d416backed Over | 18c | 79.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 20c | 74.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 77c | 74.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 76c | 24.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.