Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4813d9c1f9c63fd2c0d4e23d74401617267e8998e73bca383896ded2e1beaffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 44c | 1,313$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.52 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,242$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 38c | 774.78$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 50c | 627.92$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 405.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 364.58$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 360$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 279.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 78c | 256.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 48c | 209.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Under | 32c | 176.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 67c | 167.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 33c | 145.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 56c | 144.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 122.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 40c | 116.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 101.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 83.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 53c | 73.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Under | 34c | 58.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 77c | 56.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 32c | 55.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 52.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…7615backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 38c | 36.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 62c | 21.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 62c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.