TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65be…5546

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45.73
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$67
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.29
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$60.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$60.2
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$113.06
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$82.64
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$125.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$70.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$25.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+68.4%+$32.5
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+107%+$41.35
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$354
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$157.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.