Mls · resolved market

Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba779e3e0973e85ae9c015e9a2a01e494d7d78a0b9bed37d4d7fd50ad65b1ba

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,267 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under	45c	8,983$4,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,041.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Over	55c	2,178$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	1,770$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.22	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	57c	1,477$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.34	395	67.1%265 W · 130 L	+60.8wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	55c	1,442$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.05	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	190	44.7%85 W · 105 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	53c	1,072$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.98	777	51.7%402 W · 375 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	56c	796.66$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.66	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over	55c	600$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	58c	386.48$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.68	288	51.4%148 W · 140 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	4c	363.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	580	43.6%253 W · 327 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	45c	323.87$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.74	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over	75c	253.9$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.47	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	43c	241.19$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.71	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	24c	240.5$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.51	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	55c	227.27$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.27	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	45c	223.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	55c	218.18$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.18	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	-8.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	51c	211.48$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.23	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	207.89$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.89	215	45.1%97 W · 118 L	-20.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	55c	184.74$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.13	557	50.1%279 W · 278 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under	59c	174.85$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.16	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	23c	134.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over	72c	129.87$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.36	154	58.4%90 W · 64 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under	22c	127.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.35	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	55c	127.02$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.23	685	50.5%346 W · 339 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over	63c	122.23$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.72	46	73.9%34 W · 12 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	55c	116.44$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.4	85	63.5%54 W · 31 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	55c	116.44$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.4	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over	55c	116.44$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.4	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	43c	110.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.37	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	392	34.4%135 W · 257 L	-47.2wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-31%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over	55c	93.22$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.95	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over	46c	91$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.14	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	57cpaid	+120%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	102	50%51 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	55c	88.95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.03	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over	55c	88.95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.03	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	55c	88.95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.03	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	55c	88.95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.03	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	71c	87.32$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.32	309	57%176 W · 133 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under	23c	83.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over	55c	74.3$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.44	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under	28c	70.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Under	34c	67.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over	55c	66.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.02	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	55c	66.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.02	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over	55c	66.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.02	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	55c	66.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.02	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	54c	66$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.08	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over	55c	62.95$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.33	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	68c	59.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.24	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over	73c	58$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over	41c	56.61$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	55c	55.54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.99	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	43c	52.41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.89	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	72c	51.25$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	87	60.9%53 W · 34 L	+13.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	48c	49.22$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.72	461	56.2%259 W · 202 L	+13.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	55c	46.56$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.95	106	55.7%59 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	55c	44.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	55c	44.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	248	59.3%147 W · 101 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over	55c	44.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over	55c	44.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over	55c	44.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over	55c	44.47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.01	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over	70c	42.13$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.64	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over	55c	33.47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Under	46c	32.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	48c	30.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af7…37e2backed Over	55c	30.54$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	55c	29.8$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.41	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	44c	27.31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.29	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	46c	23.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	206	48.5%100 W · 106 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over	55c	22.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Over	55c	22.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over	55c	22.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Over	55c	22.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over	55c	22.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	55c	20.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.34	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	60cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Over won
Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event