TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under42c31,076$12,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,909.122259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under43c29,939$12,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,878.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c17,759$10,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,641.7213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over59c15,310$9,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,241.8522652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c5,777$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.0943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c4,719$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.7298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over67c2,960$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.6814060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over59c1,163$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.435257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over60c1,161$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.445154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over60c1,160$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.261643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under31c1,066$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.362030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over58c1,044$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.342748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over74c910.51$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.862161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over60c898.88$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.55366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over57c853$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.885255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under45c791.97$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over58c620.28$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.434148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over60c570.39$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under43c561.51$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.452166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over58c560.33$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over58c532.06$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c524.83$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3134937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over56c455$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c441.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.313256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over57c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.73988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over58c420.14$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.464355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over75c315.33$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.39666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over54c304.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c290.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.944040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over56c280.72$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over59c272.2$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over74c239.61$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.31560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over58c232.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.543850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over58c228.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.793253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c226.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.456958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over58c213.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.62352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under13c210.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3710837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c206.29$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.142650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under42c203.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Over60c188.08$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over58c168.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.583357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.586549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.583756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over58c168.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over58c167.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.442846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0700…7c8abacked Under10c141.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c139.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6411752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over58c117.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4110357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Under41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over57c113.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7710757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under20c109.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over58c100.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.353154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Over58c99.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c95.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over58c91.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3132453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over76c87.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.356050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.292445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.29955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under16c81.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c78.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over57c77.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.462147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over58c73.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.712070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over65c70.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.828659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5470…7685backed Over56c70.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over62c69.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.277254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd410…1d61backed Over57c66.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under40c65.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0814955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over58c64.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Under33c59.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over69c58.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c58.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.048853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over57c57.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Over59c57.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Over65c57.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over58c49.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5211457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.653262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Over59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under43c39.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under43c39.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over58c36.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over72c35.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.844252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c34.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8930954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ba…d462backed Under42c34.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over57c33.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4361…75afbacked Over60c33.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over59c33.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.