Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe48c11966e8471239bf0715a355482b69e59740e8f62b0dbc7c78ca864ed49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 42c | 31,076$12,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,909.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 43c | 29,939$12,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,878.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 17,759$10,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.72 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 59c | 15,310$9,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.85 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 5,777$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.09 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 4,719$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.72 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 67c | 2,960$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.68 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 59c | 1,163$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 60c | 1,161$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 60c | 1,160$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 31c | 1,066$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 58c | 1,044$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.34 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 74c | 910.51$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 60c | 898.88$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 853$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 45c | 791.97$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 58c | 620.28$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 60c | 570.39$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 58c | 560.33$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 58c | 532.06$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 524.83$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 455$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 441.62$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 58c | 420.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 75c | 315.33$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 54c | 304.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 290.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…37e4backed Over | 56c | 280.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…5546backed Over | 59c | 272.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 74c | 239.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 58c | 232.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 58c | 228.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 226.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 58c | 213.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 210.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 206.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 42c | 203.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Over | 60c | 188.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 58c | 168.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 58c | 167.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…7c8abacked Under | 10c | 141.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 139.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 117.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Under | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 57c | 113.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 20c | 109.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed Over | 58c | 99.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 95.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 91.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 87.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 16c | 81.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 78.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 57c | 77.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 58c | 73.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 65c | 70.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Over | 56c | 70.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 69.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…1d61backed Over | 57c | 66.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 40c | 65.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 58c | 64.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 33c | 59.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 69c | 58.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 58.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 57c | 57.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Over | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 65c | 57.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 58c | 49.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 43c | 39.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 43c | 39.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 58c | 36.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 72c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 34.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Under | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 57c | 33.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…75afbacked Over | 60c | 33.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 59c | 33.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.