Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7fb4ade2646f14af6edb4dc600d09c1fe41db71a2393573d7facabcd77d3836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne City FCof Melbourne City FC, Western Sydney Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Melbourne City FC | 76c | 559.26$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Melbourne City FC | 31c | 377.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 30c | 339.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 69c | 210$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 72c | 179.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 70c | 173.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Melbourne City FC | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Melbourne City FC | 29c | 165.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 69c | 65.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 31c | 61.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…8d5bbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 70c | 42.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Melbourne City FC | 69c | 33.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 71c | 17.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.