TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Melbourne City FCof Melbourne City FC, Western Sydney Wanderers FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC28c457.9$128 inLost-$128.21933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Melbourne City FC72c450.85$324 inWon+$127.2298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC40c90.84$36 inLost-$36.443050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Melbourne City FC60c50.47$30 inWon+$20.1919849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be9…368dbacked Melbourne City FC79c41.78$33 inWon+$8.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Melbourne City FC60c35.92$22 inWon+$14.373345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.