Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc27a597e1c14a9eb5faeba1129cf908492ca1f13de5a1f290a61a1f77ffaf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 42c | 12,569$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked No | 58c | 7,059$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 5,533$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.11 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 39c | 2,015$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.96 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,619$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.22 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 909.47$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.22 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 62c | 713.19$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 59c | 586.17$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 61c | 460.96$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.18 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 315.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 239.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 198.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 192.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 160.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 61c | 159.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 60c | 139.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Yes | 59c | 121.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 62c | 110.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 59c | 106.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 39c | 101.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 63c | 88.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…368dbacked No | 45c | 87.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 85.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 82.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 46c | 62.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 58c | 51.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 48.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed No | 70c | 46.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 54c | 44.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…20edbacked No | 61c | 41.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 40c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 40c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 40c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 40c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 40c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 40c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes | 58c | 33.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 51c | 31.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 61c | 30.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked No | 40c | 27.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 65c | 27.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed No | 48c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 60c | 16.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.