Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb651731dfba81c80dc565eeff0e886dd05c4477088f06c4b78aaccef56b015df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 64c | 13,231$8,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 0c | 11,939$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,983$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 48c | 1,753$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 61c | 1,097$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.1 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 37c | 1,030$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 1,009$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 45c | 999.84$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 36c | 980.83$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 41c | 740.63$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 42c | 624.93$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Over | 63c | 619.75$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 611.94$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.7 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 36c | 577.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 42c | 564.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 4c | 541.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.42per pick | 14cpaid | +367.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 36c | 529.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 528.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 47c | 521.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 497.32$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 457.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 36c | 456.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 39c | 412.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 39c | 412.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 39c | 412.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 62c | 395.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 33c | 392.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 41c | 380.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 64c | 369.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 36c | 363.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 36c | 346.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 309.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 290.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 37c | 280.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 54c | 277.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 38c | 254.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 65c | 240.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 36c | 227.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 36c | 224.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 73c | 218.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 45c | 196.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 194.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 50c | 194.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 189.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 36c | 187.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 36c | 187.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 54c | 178.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 36c | 171.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…368dbacked Under | 40c | 168.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 58c | 167.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 36c | 149.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 36c | 149.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 148.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 36c | 145.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 74c | 129.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 45c | 128.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Under | 23c | 127.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 36c | 112.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc9…05e4backed Over | 39c | 112.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Over | 43c | 105.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Under | 69c | 92.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 83.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 39c | 75.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 73.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 36c | 70.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 36c | 70.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 31c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 37c | 64.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 35c | 55.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 23c | 47.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 50c | 43.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 62c | 41.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 50c | 39.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 31.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 60c | 30.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 47c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 44c | 28.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…d8a8backed Under | 43c | 27.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 48c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 51c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Over | 67c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 69cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.