TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under64c13,231$8,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,775.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over0c11,939$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,983$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under48c1,753$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.222650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over61c1,097$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.114060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over37c1,030$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.031735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over50c1,009$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under45c999.84$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over36c980.83$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.14341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over58c840.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over41c740.63$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.984148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over42c624.93$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.643850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over63c619.75$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.191060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c611.94$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.76958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over36c577.48$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.213253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over42c564.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over4c541.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.42per pick14cpaid+367.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over36c529.37$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c528.35$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.298853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over47c521.75$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.824355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over47c497.32$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.815754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c457.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2830954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over36c456.74$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.741850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over39c412.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.635255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over39c412.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.635154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over39c412.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.635257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over62c395.61$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.288327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under33c392.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.652540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under41c380.49$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.892878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under64c369.99$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.23745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over36c363.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over36c346.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.642657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c309.55$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over52c290.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8410357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under37c280.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.583938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over54c277.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.163357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.166549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.163756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over38c254.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.273616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under65c240.71$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over36c227.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.992352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over36c224.9$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9610837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over73c218.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick74cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Under45c196.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c194.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over50c194.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.867365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over55c189.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.656650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over36c187.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over36c187.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over54c178.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.282646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over36c171.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be9…368dbacked Under40c168.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Over58c167.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over36c149.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over36c149.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c148.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.731741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over36c145.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.36977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.38666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over74c129.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over45c128.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.123154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under23c127.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over36c112.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4813243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc9…05e4backed Over39c112.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ac…c267backed Over43c105.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Under69c92.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over36c83.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under39c75.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.062650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c73.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over36c70.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over36c70.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.272846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0410839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.043262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over31c65.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2114955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under37c64.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.452751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over35c55.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.198353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.752564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.510633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under41c48.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.463354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under23c47.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over50c43.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over62c41.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8219849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under50c39.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.562070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Under65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.455066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over59c31.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over60c30.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.673345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over47c29.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.862147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Over44c28.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce9…d8a8backed Under43c27.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over48c26.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over51c23.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed Over67c15.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.