TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa3ac…c267

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-64.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.49
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.98
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.88
Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$26.38
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$214.77
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$136.3
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$80.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.2
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$225.85
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.