CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7846e4fcd806bf2a36ff9fa1dcbd6484b5bbbbb50cddcb7fcf3e968e5670ef84

Rebuilt 36 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, NRG
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $138,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $161,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5bbe…c65dbacked NRG	0c	55,224$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.23	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG	28c	20,518$5,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,750.32	724	53.7%389 W · 335 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports	72c	8,643$6,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,422.15	760	58%441 W · 319 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports	76c	8,252$6,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,941.43	449	57.5%258 W · 191 L	-19.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NRG	1c	5,830$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	696	24%167 W · 529 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG	8c	3,327$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.95	870	47.9%417 W · 453 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG	8c	3,053$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.22	1,256	46.7%587 W · 669 L	+17.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG	29c	2,980$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.19	469	49.7%233 W · 236 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed NRG	24c	2,631$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.24	161	52.8%85 W · 76 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports	72c	2,048$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.53	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed FUT Esports	71c	1,892$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.64	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG	19c	1,711$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.16	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FUT Esports	80c	1,634$1,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.86	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG	6c	1,498$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.85	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked FUT Esports	70c	1,482$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.65	236	53.4%126 W · 110 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG	20c	1,105$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.45	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NRG	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	496	46.6%231 W · 265 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FUT Esports	74c	869.09$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.73	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports	72c	701.9$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.53	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed NRG	28c	669.76$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.53	454	55.1%250 W · 204 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked NRG	18c	652.93$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.61	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG	2c	630.74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG	16c	576.54$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.85	887	46.7%414 W · 473 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked NRG	6c	544.39$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FUT Esports	70c	494.41$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.32	325	52.6%171 W · 154 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG	13c	483.77$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.55	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ac…c267backed FUT Esports	71c	470$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.3	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked FUT Esports	72c	409.67$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.71	276	58%160 W · 116 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NRG	27c	404.62$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.25	512	52.3%268 W · 244 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed NRG	30c	319.33$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.8	305	27.5%84 W · 221 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed NRG	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	334	52.1%174 W · 160 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports	71c	299.65$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.9	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked FUT Esports	73c	295.14$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.69	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	-9.6wins	-0.14per pick	66cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG	28c	283.68$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed FUT Esports	72c	273.11$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.47	111	66.7%74 W · 37 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FUT Esports	77c	269.93$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.35	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG	15c	233.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.61	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports	73c	205$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.35	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed FUT Esports	72c	204.83$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.35	508	46.3%235 W · 273 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports	70c	199.32$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.79	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed FUT Esports	72c	196.64$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.06	294	65.3%192 W · 102 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG	6c	184.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed NRG	29c	159.41$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.23	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed FUT Esports	78c	148.2$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.96	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e6…e0bfbacked NRG	10c	147.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked NRG	29c	143.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed FUT Esports	79c	142.3$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.38	673	72.2%486 W · 187 L	+119.1wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed FUT Esports	70c	139.72$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.92	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed FUT Esports	78c	139.42$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	493	76.1%375 W · 118 L	+96.8wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed FUT Esports	72c	139.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	139	64%89 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed FUT Esports	71c	138.39$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.13	277	44.4%123 W · 154 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b17…fdbfbacked FUT Esports	73c	134.77$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.39	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	70cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked FUT Esports	71c	134.43$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.76	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-17.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG	27c	120$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports	71c	110.12$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.49	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed FUT Esports	71c	107.67$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.73	250	42.8%107 W · 143 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked FUT Esports	71c	107.67$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.73	389	42.4%165 W · 224 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed FUT Esports	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed FUT Esports	72c	99.69$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.91	538	50.6%272 W · 266 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed NRG	29c	97.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	203	32.5%66 W · 137 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…041bbacked FUT Esports	71c	91.34$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	104	51%53 W · 51 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG	20c	89.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG	20c	80$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed FUT Esports	70c	70.14$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	222	52.7%117 W · 105 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked FUT Esports	70c	70.14$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	319	50.5%161 W · 158 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed FUT Esports	74c	65.73$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.89	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084e…71d6backed NRG	30c	63.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked FUT Esports	71c	62.66$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.17	378	59.5%225 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed FUT Esports	72c	61.45$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.21	254	46.1%117 W · 137 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG	17c	58.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked NRG	28c	58.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	1,043	57.3%598 W · 445 L	+17.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FUT Esports	78c	47.8$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked FUT Esports	73c	43.22$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb2…2bb3backed FUT Esports	70c	43.21$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	87	64.4%56 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed FUT Esports	70c	42.29$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.83	169	65.1%110 W · 59 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked FUT Esports	72c	40.97$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	184	51.1%94 W · 90 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed NRG	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed FUT Esports	71c	39.3$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	230	57%131 W · 99 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc80…bfebbacked FUT Esports	71c	29.48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed FUT Esports	72c	26.79$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	121	62.8%76 W · 45 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports	70c	26.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.03	366	45.4%166 W · 200 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x177a…4c25backed FUT Esports	71c	23.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.85	74	75.7%56 W · 18 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	69cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ec…f7dbbacked FUT Esports	72c	18.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.26	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked FUT Esports	71c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.64	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports	77c	13.59$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.17	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)FUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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