CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9285a2c648f5dab9813d7e20feab24d67ac677d014bc4e168a2375a636f97d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG | 42c | 2,649$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed FUT Esports | 58c | 2,444$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.98 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NRG | 56c | 1,705$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.55 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked FUT Esports | 44c | 1,647$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.47 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 1,168$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.38 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 58c | 946.56$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 58c | 776.99$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.65 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked NRG | 61c | 477.78$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NRG | 28c | 425.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed FUT Esports | 72c | 368.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 281.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked NRG | 64c | 244.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed FUT Esports | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked NRG | 60c | 213.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed FUT Esports | 38c | 163.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed NRG | 60c | 162.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed FUT Esports | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed FUT Esports | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed FUT Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked NRG | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 77.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked NRG | 58c | 72.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed FUT Esports | 42c | 67.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NRG | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FUT Esports | 41c | 55.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed FUT Esports | 41c | 48.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 36.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports | 42c | 34.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked NRG | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…0dc8backed FUT Esports | 41c | 31.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed NRG | 61c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed NRG | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.