TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cd1…041b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10451%53 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.47
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.59
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.38
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+123%+$101.98
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.31
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.39
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.15
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.57
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.34
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.19
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$73.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.