Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57dcab32891f62eb4b5dc56b9e208f50a1b5bc1a8e96036a7e7e0a3839b843cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Yes | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 97,007$48,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,524.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 57,876$24,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,135.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 48,912$23,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,813.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 39,999$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.59 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 32,376$16,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,162.18 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 50c | 30,208$15,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,104.01 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 29,623$15,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,641.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed No | 50c | 20,428$10,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,213.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 20,242$10,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,139.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 50c | 20,100$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 19,962$10,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,823.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 19,625$9,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,868.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 49c | 17,168$8,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.17 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 16,404$8,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.48 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 48c | 10,665$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,584.78 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 5c | 8,315$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.76 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 50c | 6,710$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 6,455$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 43c | 6,134$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.02 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 67c | 5,880$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.69 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 6c | 4,900$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 59c | 4,041$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.71 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 51c | 4,004$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.96 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 62c | 3,943$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.02 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,909$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.47 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 49c | 3,629$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.75 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked No | 49c | 3,569$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 3,260$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.61 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 59c | 3,180$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.69 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 49c | 3,035$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 50c | 3,008$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.55 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 2,819$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.38 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 49c | 2,578$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 58c | 2,572$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.06 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…b74bbacked No | 17c | 2,400$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked No | 51c | 2,131$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,109$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.38 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 61c | 2,106$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.65 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 49c | 2,101$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.48 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Yes | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 1,882$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 1,866$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 53c | 1,677$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.59 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 1,671$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.35 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 1,629$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 51c | 1,534$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.59 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 49c | 1,472$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…c8a3backed No | 50c | 1,408$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed No | 50c | 1,368$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed No | 52c | 1,341$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 49c | 1,296$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.04 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 45c | 1,294$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.05 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 5c | 1,246$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 6c | 1,225$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 59c | 1,107$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.11 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 51c | 1,087$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.23 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 3c | 1,012$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.84 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 45c | 977.78$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.78 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 51c | 964.59$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.65 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 941.79$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.05 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 57c | 891.36$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.53 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 839.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 50c | 834.06$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.03 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 60c | 818.65$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.68 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 68c | 816.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…ef94backed Yes | 27c | 810.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.02 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…5d81backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 54c | 799.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 51c | 792.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed No | 50c | 787.82$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 49c | 783.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 50c | 778$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed No | 50c | 747.82$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.43 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 746.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 49c | 732.94$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 50c | 732.68$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.77 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 672$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?No won
- Austria leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.