Austria leading at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c691950cbfd2fe535786be5184d2a595aeae732dafc2e1979cae480e7c2820d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $184,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $201,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,733 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	11c	39,073$4,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,427.94	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes	12c	16,667$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Yes	13c	16,308$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	8,948$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.67	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	11c	7,831$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.91	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Yes	13c	7,412$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	174	16.1%28 W · 146 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	12c	2,191$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.92	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	12c	1,875$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes	12c	1,586$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.26	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b5…61f9backed Yes	12c	973.72$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.11	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Yes	13c	748.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes	13c	730.77$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c43…5c88backed Yes	12c	700$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d95…54efbacked Yes	11c	699$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.91	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	214	33.2%71 W · 143 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes	11c	457.22$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3f…caf9backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes	13c	357.21$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Yes	12c	350$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Yes	13c	346.15$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes	13c	320$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	294	30.3%89 W · 205 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	10c	316.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes	12c	291.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	241	32.8%79 W · 162 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes	11c	279.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	4c	274.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed Yes	13c	272.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes	11c	263.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes	10c	240.11$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2918…0b9ebacked Yes	12c	236.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed Yes	12c	229$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.48	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	223$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	83	18.1%15 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3884…8049backed Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes	12c	200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	7c	192.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e2a4backed Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745e…4225backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes	14c	181.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5238…ba99backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	35.3%54 W · 99 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x319a…039bbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	146	24.7%36 W · 110 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7368…8d47backed Yes	15c	135.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes	12c	133.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes	15c	132.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9355…ca67backed Yes	13c	130.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	112	19.6%22 W · 90 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fd…7b89backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	9c	114.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes	12c	110.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes	12c	108.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	151	30.5%46 W · 105 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	11c	107.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2738…95a0backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	18.9%28 W · 120 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	14c	99.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c18…926abacked Yes	12c	87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Yes	13c	78.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Austria leading at halftime?this page
Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
Argentina vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Austria leading at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event