TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No57c80,269$45,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,815.292,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c30,229$11,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,279.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c19,733$7,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,904.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c7,078$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes39c5,620$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.371,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes39c5,156$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.128847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes39c4,629$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.3115843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes54c4,418$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.484320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes26c4,172$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.912,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c3,806$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes41c2,789$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.089547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No60c2,718$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.322,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Yes41c2,554$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.3216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…a00bbacked Yes2c2,101$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.263941%16 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Yes16c1,908$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.352330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No61c1,760$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Yes40c1,403$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2611642.2%49 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes47c1,278$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Yes9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No50c1,162$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.3122226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No62c1,012$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6417856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes43c929.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Yes39c820.51$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No77c746.63$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes42c737.03$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Yes15c726.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.152313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes20c721.69$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.581,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b9…57ecbacked Yes40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes10c586.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606229%18 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c521$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.981,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes9c457.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes54c415.18$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22345248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes52c368$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3039…9ed0backed Yes63c358.02$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.552040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No59c356.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2118850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes60c346.12$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb9…1735backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.829430.3%89 W · 205 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11739956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf3…b88fbacked No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146334.9%22 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes33c295.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5878234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Yes41c279.05$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.419325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda55…1534backed Yes39c260.41$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.563740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes43c256.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…1499backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c9…4179backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003312.1%4 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked Yes42c244.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.779348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes42c243.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.321146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes42c243.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.317042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb3…ea01backed Yes69c231.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605172.5%37 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No62c231.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.92,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No63c229$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8433937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No74c225.31$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.321749.8%108 W · 109 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c9…2687backed Yes45c223.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.153531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes34c218.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes66c214.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5953436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…2896backed Yes67c210$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.718231.9%58 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d95…54efbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72e8…66aebacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No65c199.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8364850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked No59c199.96$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9822931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No61c199.6$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes45c195.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8811233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes6c178.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3884…8049backed Yes40c175.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No63c172$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No57c171.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.918943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes40c169.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.561,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ef…afaebacked Yes12c167.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…7714backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015246.1%70 W · 82 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No60c159.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.21,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No42c158.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No58c157.15$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5935734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes43c155.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.999139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006944.9%31 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ce…7166backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes22c140.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes58c132.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7732145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes41c128.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.251,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Yes38c123.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.865349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No61c112$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9233538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes39c109.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.621240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No61c109$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.995657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes58c105$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.914030.7%43 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No60c103.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3732639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Yes12c99.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3228535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed No79c97.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5521349.8%106 W · 107 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1833438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.