TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0e1…ba6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.06
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.32
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.44
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$540.46
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$212.66
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$112.6
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$905.26
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.61
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$74.29
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.96
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$496.47
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$808.76
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$235.81
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$171.09
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.01
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$116.81
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$219.58
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2181%17 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$615.59
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$275
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$666.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$739.73
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$461.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$105.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$63.15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$32.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$34.71
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.38
LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.55
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$442.26
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$352.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.92
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$226.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.06
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$440.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.