TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,833,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,080,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,833,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under44c334,588$147,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,996.4942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over33c278,788$92,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,842.8874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c276,962$170,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,640.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Under42c256,547$106,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,662.895959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over52c222,067$116,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,312.7677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c170,779$86,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,362.912,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c124,210$42,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,143.081,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under48c116,247$55,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,510.1956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over59c90,000$52,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,699.749451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over28c86,677$24,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,269.5214843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Over58c84,672$49,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,257.688063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over60c84,465$50,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,509.621,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under42c82,941$34,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,105.7817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c68,133$33,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,420.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under43c60,822$26,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,668.5911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under41c59,108$24,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,829.1232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over43c57,777$24,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,888.288246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c54,123$23,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,301.1842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c53,671$23,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,325.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under78c53,667$41,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,981.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over60c52,123$31,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,348.6551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c50,909$20,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,545.2110836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under40c36,170$14,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,696.625745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Over60c34,249$20,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,537.8114347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c33,237$19,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,029.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c30,211$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.1451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under43c30,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,099.927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over28c29,000$8,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1407034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under47c28,250$13,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,972.457642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over60c27,731$16,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,638.847844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over56c26,749$14,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,979.1933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Over21c25,006$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,332.786434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c24,963$5,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,941.131,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under41c24,852$10,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,660.9612255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under41c24,557$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,486.916842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Under40c24,200$9,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,519.972157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed Under41c22,304$9,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,159.432356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Under44c22,300$9,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,487.976833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over60c21,577$12,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,946.4545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,000.0320724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,80013448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,999.915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under40c19,999$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,999.3821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over57c19,277$10,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,987.899846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under72c19,000$13,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,32014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over28c17,857$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over57c17,084$9,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,737.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over38c16,756$6,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,444.0939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over60c16,667$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under40c16,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over38c15,748$5,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.2349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Over39c15,200$5,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,887.9914250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,85027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0006259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Over60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under40c15,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c14,652$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,750.81,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under40c14,500$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.9547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under41c14,273$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,472.728041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Under70c14,207$9,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.5610959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over11c12,751$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.516150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under41c12,195$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.128348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under41c12,176$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,184.133161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c12,109$6,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,981.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under73c12,067$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.769840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under40c12,060$4,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,233.574348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under40c12,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9647643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c11,309$8,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over56c11,214$6,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,279.827943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under40c11,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over17c10,894$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.951,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Under40c10,495$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,297.247342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under43c10,233$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,832.5613742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c10,137$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.49626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Over58c10,066$5,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,838.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7003321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over58c10,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,83015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd2…31f4backed Over60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over58c10,000$5,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,79033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.997859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Over10c10,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9210555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Over59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.733063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Over58c9,999$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.4117452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over59c9,645$5,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,690.5528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under40c9,600$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.9347442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c9,587$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae95…7adabacked Over58c8,670$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Over60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over60c8,241$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.8277433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under60c7,979$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.5422933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c7,806$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.521,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over20c7,718$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.7744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f1…3268backed Over23c7,500$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Over57c7,388$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2118140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under41c7,333$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.8131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under54c7,271$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.8923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…31e6backed Under76c7,256$5,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.236100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.