Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e935db1dd7ea88e677f467fb03a8ee17dabca5964db893746a9107a68d7fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof Paraguay, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,754,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,244,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,754,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 649 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Paraguay | 7c | 699,997$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.81 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Paraguay | 7c | 559,579$39,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,170.55 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Paraguay | 8c | 499,999$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,999.92 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Paraguay | 7c | 300,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Paraguay | 8c | 216,070$16,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,935.45 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Paraguay | 9c | 200,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.98 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Paraguay | 8c | 195,627$15,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,166.48 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Paraguay | 7c | 190,784$14,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,262.76 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Paraguay | 7c | 160,836$11,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,493.68 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Paraguay | 7c | 155,555$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.83 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Paraguay | 8c | 134,173$10,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,284.25 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Paraguay | 8c | 127,437$10,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,194.97 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Paraguay | 9c | 82,254$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.39 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Paraguay | 8c | 62,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Paraguay | 7c | 55,555$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Paraguay | 9c | 47,857$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.14 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paraguay | 8c | 38,692$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.64 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…9d8fbacked Paraguay | 11c | 34,217$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.17 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Paraguay | 6c | 32,303$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.18 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Paraguay | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Paraguay | 9c | 27,000$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.64 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Paraguay | 2c | 25,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Paraguay | 10c | 25,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Paraguay | 8c | 24,852$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.17 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Paraguay | 8c | 21,930$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.29 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Paraguay | 8c | 20,834$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.72 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Paraguay | 8c | 19,897$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.8 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Paraguay | 7c | 18,690$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.95 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Paraguay | 3c | 15,323$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Paraguay | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Paraguay | 8c | 14,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Paraguay | 1c | 13,757$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Paraguay | 9c | 13,246$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.11 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Paraguay | 10c | 13,155$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.54 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9c…2b80backed Paraguay | 7c | 12,862$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…5621backed Paraguay | 10c | 12,729$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.2 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Paraguay | 9c | 12,634$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Paraguay | 8c | 12,320$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.59 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Paraguay | 10c | 12,150$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Paraguay | 15c | 12,109$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.56 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35eb…354ebacked Paraguay | 9c | 12,008$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Paraguay | 8c | 12,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Paraguay | 8c | 11,772$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Paraguay | 9c | 11,484$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.84 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Paraguay | 9c | 11,078$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…df57backed Paraguay | 7c | 10,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Paraguay | 12c | 10,680$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Paraguay | 1c | 10,353$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Paraguay | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Paraguay | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Paraguay | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Paraguay | 5c | 10,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Paraguay | 9c | 9,985$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.61 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed Paraguay | 12c | 9,673$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Paraguay | 8c | 9,497$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.76 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9cffbacked Paraguay | 1c | 9,347$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…1ae0backed Paraguay | 10c | 9,283$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…ea4cbacked Paraguay | 10c | 8,572$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.06 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Paraguay | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Paraguay | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Paraguay | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Paraguay | 8c | 7,742$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.36 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Paraguay | 2c | 7,500$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Paraguay | 7c | 7,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…3645backed Paraguay | 8c | 7,475$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…bfacbacked Paraguay | 14c | 7,394$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Paraguay | 7c | 7,344$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Paraguay | 9c | 7,119$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.52 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Paraguay | 11c | 7,119$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.88 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Paraguay | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Paraguay | 8c | 6,867$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.36 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Paraguay | 9c | 6,760$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.43 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Paraguay | 7c | 6,682$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.53 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Paraguay | 7c | 6,605$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.35 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Paraguay | 8c | 6,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Paraguay | 12c | 6,330$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Paraguay | 8c | 6,300$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…1b53backed Paraguay | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…76d4backed Paraguay | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…5840backed Paraguay | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…ee5fbacked Paraguay | 8c | 6,043$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Paraguay | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Paraguay | 8c | 5,998$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Paraguay | 10c | 5,930$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Paraguay | 9c | 5,844$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed Paraguay | 2c | 5,838$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…fb20backed Paraguay | 10c | 5,778$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Paraguay | 3c | 5,720$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Paraguay | 10c | 5,673$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.43 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Paraguay | 6c | 5,635$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Paraguay | 10c | 5,610$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Paraguay | 7c | 5,600$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Paraguay | 8c | 5,554$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.28 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paraguay | 10c | 5,370$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Paraguay | 8c | 5,300$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…21a2backed Paraguay | 9c | 5,245$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paraguay | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…3540backed Paraguay | 10c | 4,947$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Paraguay | 8c | 4,825$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Paraguay | 7c | 4,692$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancethis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.