TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$607,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c131,437$48,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,584.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over73c58,441$42,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,662.2516546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under25c57,662$14,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,246.5615441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under27c48,573$13,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,564.284134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over75c47,703$35,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,700.223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c30,551$21,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,048.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over73c29,331$21,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,40715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under26c26,963$6,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,063.87345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over74c26,122$19,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,383.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c22,202$6,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,905.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over67c21,664$14,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,408.043321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over75c17,881$13,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,411.064568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over26c9,846$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.0114542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c9,756$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,863.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c9,487$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,631.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under25c9,380$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,034.9846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Over74c9,184$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,796.118047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Under27c9,045$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.718631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c7,993$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,931.92,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Over74c7,524$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,547.856637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over47c7,500$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.995545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under25c6,783$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.0810056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Over54c6,708$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.3317642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Over56c6,595$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.2410045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over75c6,222$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.1714463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over74c5,392$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c5,264$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c5,189$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,483.812,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c4,791$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under26c4,490$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over74c4,114$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.572,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under26c3,923$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.6532042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over74c3,866$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.965366%35 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1956…9dd6backed Over74c3,313$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.051070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over73c3,146$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.527358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked Under70c2,872$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.484566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c2,836$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…1cb6backed Over75c2,666$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+86.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over34c2,662$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over65c2,585$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6866660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under27c2,092$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.371,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over22c1,920$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over48c1,876$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.53351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over30c1,861$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.151,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over46c1,769$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9143248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under25c1,761$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.081,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under26c1,573$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.1913234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over52c1,554$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.0836123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3941…e366backed Over75c1,400$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under30c1,380$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.721,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under26c1,363$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.353,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29c…70b0backed Over75c1,334$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32bd…cc35backed Over75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-85.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…7a12backed Under26c1,300$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.071250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under41c1,206$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.1910549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under63c1,185$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0428251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a8…5d93backed Over73c1,181$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7b…21c4backed Over74c1,170$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.677955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over7c1,131$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.931,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under36c1,114$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.314459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over30c1,073$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.483315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe955…62dabacked Over48c1,026$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over27c1,008$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004376.7%33 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed Over72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under26c999$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.3322634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966b…2d95backed Over68c965.82$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over75c915$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.2592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under25c899.49$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.628943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…dbbcbacked Over75c872.17$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.132867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over50c858$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.079770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bcb…5c30backed Under48c833.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.545534.5%19 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Over75c826.67$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6204856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over48c817.56$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.435952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over40c812$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.971,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under27c798.07$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.521,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over56c785.82$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under26c766.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over74c759.61$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.6227254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over74c750$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55518043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfa…2dd7backed Over73c739.73$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over48c721.11$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.715549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf025…48f8backed Over64c706.53$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502548%12 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…a2d5backed Over59c700$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.515758%91 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.