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Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,547,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,748,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,547,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 702 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over31c1,978,442$613,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613,317.0917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under70c1,263,174$890,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372,740.4974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c1,082,949$775,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307,657.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over33c214,218$70,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,691.7933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under67c200,528$134,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,174.212774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over21c107,055$22,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,7164025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over36c68,200$24,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,428.2424344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c63,432$50,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,261.322,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over35c45,937$16,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,078.177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over37c39,200$14,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,474.6751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over11c38,878$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.31,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over20c23,923$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.2549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under79c22,843$17,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.6839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Over35c21,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.991850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.9515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c19,289$13,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,925.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under69c19,087$13,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,954.111,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under64c18,791$12,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,764.5820955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4bb…4645backed Over28c17,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c15,411$5,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,237.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Over34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.988931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Over35c14,500$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.972842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over6c10,000$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0521640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Over36c8,895$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.354459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over22c7,285$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.041,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over38c6,549$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002725.9%7 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under63c6,287$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.1419345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Under64c6,250$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2509443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ad…590dbacked Over35c6,001$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.511540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.996132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over17c5,621$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.312,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under65c5,385$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.6217443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over34c4,474$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.4895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over35c4,041$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over17c3,847$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.8237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over14c3,464$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.271,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under64c3,340$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.2631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x620d…7a12backed Over32c3,094$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Under65c3,062$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.549341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.998349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under69c2,775$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.3621722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c2,630$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over35c2,629$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2833154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under69c2,279$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.7886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under70c2,136$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e24…3474backed Under64c2,024$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0414444.4%64 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Over34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802532%8 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Over32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9910026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c1,911$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c1,857$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.313,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over35c1,802$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.473,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over33c1,771$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.4318633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over35c1,753$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.711,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over35c1,752$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.8658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd938…885dbacked Over36c1,644$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under69c1,584$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Under64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.510458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Under65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.463751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over33c1,529$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.538723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under75c1,482$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.516150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Under68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.595335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Over34c1,442$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.311934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Over34c1,424$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.276043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under65c1,420$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.871,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over35c1,413$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5742332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under78c1,394$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.764665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c1,388$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.211,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over35c1,377$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.017560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over5c1,343$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2955…ab27backed Under75c1,329$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.263863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Under69c1,318$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5820626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd602…d370backed Under77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under66c1,272$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.645536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8216732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45635033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ad…6b11backed Over34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c1,132$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd9…f8d4backed Under68c1,120$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.721850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Under66c1,106$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.541450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21df…af60backed Under66c1,054$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.822657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.