Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254dfc6376b0fc88498424548750b885f3f2028674e853061b5234cd2f519ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,547,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,748,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,547,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 702 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 31c | 1,978,442$613,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613,317.09 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 70c | 1,263,174$890,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372,740.49 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,082,949$775,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307,657.88 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Over | 33c | 214,218$70,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,691.79 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 67c | 200,528$134,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,174.21 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Over | 21c | 107,055$22,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,716 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Over | 36c | 68,200$24,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,428.24 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 63,432$50,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,261.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 35c | 45,937$16,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,078.1 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 37c | 39,200$14,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,474.67 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 11c | 38,878$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.3 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 20c | 23,923$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.25 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 79c | 22,843$17,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.68 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Over | 35c | 21,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.95 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 19,289$13,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 69c | 19,087$13,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.11 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 64c | 18,791$12,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.58 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…4645backed Over | 28c | 17,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 15,411$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Over | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Over | 35c | 14,500$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 6c | 10,000$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.05 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Over | 36c | 8,895$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 22c | 7,285$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.04 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Over | 38c | 6,549$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 63c | 6,287$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.14 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Under | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…590dbacked Over | 35c | 6,001$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab6…05febacked Over | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 17c | 5,621$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.31 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Under | 65c | 5,385$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.62 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 34c | 4,474$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.48 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 35c | 4,041$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.95 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Under | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 17c | 3,847$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.82 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 3,464$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.27 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 64c | 3,340$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.26 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…7a12backed Over | 32c | 3,094$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Under | 65c | 3,062$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.54 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e98…1583backed Over | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 69c | 2,775$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.36 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 16c | 2,630$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 35c | 2,629$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.28 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 2,279$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.78 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 2,136$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.73 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…3474backed Under | 64c | 2,024$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.04 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 64c | 1,911$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 1,857$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.31 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 35c | 1,802$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 33c | 1,771$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.43 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 35c | 1,753$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.71 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 35c | 1,752$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.86 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…885dbacked Over | 36c | 1,644$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 1,584$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efc…cce5backed Under | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Under | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Over | 33c | 1,529$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.53 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 1,482$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1b0dbacked Under | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9364backed Over | 34c | 1,442$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.3 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Over | 34c | 1,424$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.27 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 65c | 1,420$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.87 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 35c | 1,413$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.57 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 78c | 1,394$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.76 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 1,388$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.21 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 35c | 1,377$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.01 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 5c | 1,343$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…ab27backed Under | 75c | 1,329$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.26 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Under | 69c | 1,318$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…d370backed Under | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Under | 66c | 1,272$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Under | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…6b11backed Over | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 1,132$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.3 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…f8d4backed Under | 68c | 1,120$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…9779backed Under | 66c | 1,106$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…af60backed Under | 66c | 1,054$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5this page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.