TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,774 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over18c3,853$695 inLost-$694.7432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c3,566$285 inLost-$285.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622f…6162backed Over20c1,148$230 inLost-$2302119%4 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over19c1,000$190 inLost-$19054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c440.73$75 inLost-$74.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over20c399.94$78 inLost-$78.392,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over20c300$60 inLost-$6022634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over15c299.99$45 inLost-$4527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over19c299.96$56 inLost-$56.381,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over21c243.15$50 inLost-$5014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over18c199.98$36 inLost-$3623741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under80c175.27$140 inWon+$35.223,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over19c157.89$30 inLost-$306930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Over19c157.89$30 inLost-$304020%8 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc123…ae89backed Over19c131.58$25 inLost-$252630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8527…009bbacked Over19c131.58$25 inLost-$257317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Over19c100$19 inLost-$18.920224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over19c63.16$12 inLost-$1223528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over17c59.96$10 inLost-$10.381,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under80c38.22$31 inWon+$7.661,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.