Spread: France (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce3c4653c7740cd29d36e92fc433786c3658ab690099eba8957dc07bec04695

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof France, Paraguay
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,869,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,816,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,869,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 866 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	73c	681,647$495,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186,390.27	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked France	19c	341,005$64,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,620.25	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France	34c	211,426$71,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,764.88	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Paraguay	66c	191,520$126,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,116.9	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Paraguay	67c	150,000$101,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,999.99	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Paraguay	69c	148,798$101,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,836.97	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked France	33c	127,535$41,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,627.8	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked France	34c	123,262$42,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,507.88	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Paraguay	68c	120,000$81,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,399.97	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Paraguay	65c	91,416$59,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,285.56	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France	21c	85,096$18,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,016.97	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France	34c	75,001$25,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,250.17	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked France	34c	65,000$22,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,100	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France	31c	50,746$15,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,794.92	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed France	30c	29,060$8,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,600	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France	32c	27,495$8,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,801.43	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed France	33c	20,072$6,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,623.76	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed France	33c	20,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed France	35c	20,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,999.99	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Paraguay	66c	19,279$12,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,620.69	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Paraguay	65c	18,000$11,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,300	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France	35c	15,914$5,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,560.42	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Paraguay	65c	15,658$10,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,422.53	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed France	38c	15,013$5,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,705	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed France	34c	15,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France	35c	14,444$5,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,055.4	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed France	35c	14,286$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Paraguay	66c	13,288$8,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,517.77	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France	12c	11,638$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364.48	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France	35c	11,429$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed France	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed France	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed France	35c	10,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…0ad6backed Paraguay	66c	9,848$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,348.48	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed France	35c	9,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France	33c	8,831$2,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,924.22	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Paraguay	65c	8,796$5,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,074.58	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Paraguay	65c	8,595$5,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,008.32	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed France	24c	8,333$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.8	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked France	38c	8,035$3,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,044.11	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Paraguay	64c	8,000$5,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.99	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked France	9c	7,462$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.52	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Paraguay	78c	7,330$5,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,581.71	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed France	35c	7,143$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked France	29c	6,938$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.66	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paraguay	65c	6,144$3,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160.64	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…63f1backed France	34c	6,081$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.48	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed France	35c	6,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d2…73b8backed France	33c	5,914$1,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.7	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	40cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed France	17c	5,892$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.93	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed France	35c	5,714$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France	35c	5,429$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked France	37c	5,405$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France	18c	5,318$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.76	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked France	35c	5,300$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed France	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed France	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbe…82cebacked France	35c	5,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.99	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed France	35c	4,796$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,678.5	109	37.6%41 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Paraguay	66c	4,621$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.18	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Paraguay	64c	4,607$2,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,667.78	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Paraguay	65c	4,388$2,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,543.6	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Paraguay	64c	4,195$2,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.03	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed France	7c	4,110$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.62	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed France	34c	4,000$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed France	36c	3,903$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.2	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Paraguay	68c	3,890$2,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.61	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed France	35c	3,699$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.71	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Paraguay	68c	3,699$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.75	167	32.3%54 W · 113 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked France	35c	3,622$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.7	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed France	32c	3,600$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked France	33c	3,500$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed France	32c	3,500$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France	31c	3,487$1,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072.99	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed France	36c	3,200$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Paraguay	65c	3,166$2,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.21	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed France	35c	3,143$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed France	35c	3,086$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.22	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked France	17c	3,031$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.67	539	20.6%111 W · 428 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210c…d6c1backed Paraguay	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Paraguay	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Paraguay	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed France	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.98	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked France	28c	2,994$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.52	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Paraguay	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.07	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed Paraguay	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.07	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France	15c	2,963$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.8	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed France	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed France	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked France	35c	2,825$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8783…4eb2backed France	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France	35c	2,777$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.95	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Paraguay	64c	2,632$1,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.34	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Paraguay	65c	2,619$1,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.6	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed France	15c	2,554$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.16	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Paraguay	65c	2,500$1,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.63	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed France	34c	2,500$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.99	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Paraguay	67c	2,472$1,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.8	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Paraguay	63c	2,407$1,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.65	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-2.5)this page
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event