TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,292 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c8,316$415 inLost-$415.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c6,862$961 inLost-$960.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb796…f221backed Yes15c6,507$1,000 inLost-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Yes15c2,322$348 inLost-$348.2750%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes11c2,318$248 inLost-$24831611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a6…7708backed Yes9c1,400$120 inLost-$119.986418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-30.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost-$20011219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…d98dbacked Yes3c1,011$29 inLost-$29.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost-$10011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost-$10017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes14c381.73$53 inLost-$53.4442640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066b…e07ebacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes9c300$27 inLost-$2723820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Yes5c300$15 inLost-$1512544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes15c299.63$45 inLost-$44.6822634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f23…cebebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…0385backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost-$403339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes13c270$35 inLost-$35.14833.3%16 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f5…ae16backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$122714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c92…c17fbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$104814.6%7 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0369…2ee0backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa3…1e53backed Yes15c143.4$22 inLost-$21.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee81…df6abacked Yes15c103.33$15 inLost-$15.55736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$101,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd7…ee63backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246f…b5aabacked Yes13c100$13 inLost-$13137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.