South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaccb7eb11017af6be1a0f8d76b65e6de91abc2338d12dfb746c858c058fc17c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 2c | 7,772$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 5,842$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 42c | 5,479$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.57 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 4,838$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 4,211$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.01 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 58c | 3,447$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.41 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 2,873$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…c077backed Under | 11c | 2,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 2,485$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…a2c7backed Under | 13c | 1,874$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 1,360$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 1,325$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.3 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 54c | 1,198$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.16 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 5c | 1,080$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Over | 58c | 1,040$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 38c | 910$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 40c | 773.86$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.71 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 53c | 596.17$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 587.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 41c | 521.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.97 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 518.34$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 420.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over | 61c | 359.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 325.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 35c | 273.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 260$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 64c | 236.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 9c | 212.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 33c | 206.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 10c | 158$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 34c | 146.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 79c | 136.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…510abacked Under | 46c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 76.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 64.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 57c | 61.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 58c | 59.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 19c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 32.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 65c | 30.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 59c | 25.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 62c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 18.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 74c | 14.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.