South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ac39794004fdb573381867af62db279d1eb7d56d7d498d4372e59f928726f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 3,943$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.43 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 3,185$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.74 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 72c | 2,764$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.22 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 1,949$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.01 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0bb1backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +340.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 672.12$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 589.63$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.47 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 69c | 580$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 69c | 580$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 339$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Yes | 28c | 280.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 250.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed No | 11c | 240$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 216.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 19c | 181.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 40c | 177.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 58c | 72.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 65c | 51.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 65c | 47.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 30.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 64c | 22.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.