South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea3850df44bf8298499626a571942558455de512493fd57fa4a20477b96b896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 2c | 2,011$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +370.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 16c | 1,928$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.8 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 30c | 1,597$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.21 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 18c | 1,338$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 5c | 1,080$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 21c | 964.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.62 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 79c | 908.18$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.46 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 869.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.74 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 18c | 759.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 11c | 700$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.4 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 39c | 486.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.47 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 68c | 438.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 67c | 312.3$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 68c | 294.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Under | 61c | 214.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…dd9dbacked Under | 6c | 180.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 30c | 163.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 144.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 91.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 32c | 89.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 83.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 77c | 78.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 26c | 69.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 21c | 60.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 59.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 65c | 52.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 41c | 51.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 79c | 45.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 62c | 25.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 25.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 68c | 21.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5this page
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Independiente Medellín won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.