TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Anyone's Legend, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,395,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,680,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,395,235 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Anyone's Legend47c72,497$34,173 inLost-$34,173.492,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Bilibili Gaming56c50,520$28,187 inWon+$22,332.9222850.9%116 W · 112 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming55c49,070$27,229 inWon+$21,840.8196948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Anyone's Legend46c35,319$16,355 inLost-$16,355.453750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Bilibili Gaming51c28,855$14,721 inWon+$14,133.2313161.8%81 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Bilibili Gaming50c28,663$14,461 inWon+$14,202.1851748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Anyone's Legend34c26,888$9,176 inLost-$9,175.8432650.3%164 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Bilibili Gaming54c26,852$14,632 inWon+$12,220.3551146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Anyone's Legend29c23,880$6,982 inLost-$6,981.5812260.7%74 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming66c20,304$13,425 inWon+$6,878.962,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Anyone's Legend44c20,000$8,800 inLost-$8,80064455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Anyone's Legend2c20,000$410 inLost-$4101050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked Anyone's Legend41c19,488$8,000 inLost-$8,00022667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Anyone's Legend48c19,344$9,276 inLost-$9,276.3240851.7%211 W · 197 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Anyone's Legend40c18,839$7,588 inLost-$7,587.5931644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…bd58backed Anyone's Legend32c18,523$5,923 inLost-$5,923.0816542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Anyone's Legend41c18,311$7,518 inLost-$7,518.241,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Anyone's Legend44c17,810$7,866 inLost-$7,865.9257546.3%266 W · 309 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Bilibili Gaming55c15,886$8,807 inWon+$7,079.071,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Anyone's Legend40c15,000$6,062 inLost-$6,061.9422355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Bilibili Gaming46c15,000$6,900 inWon+$8,099.9926344.5%117 W · 146 L+18.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x890b…1979backed Bilibili Gaming47c13,879$6,523 inWon+$7,355.943852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Anyone's Legend44c13,636$6,000 inLost-$6,00018629.6%55 W · 131 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Bilibili Gaming53c11,250$5,963 inWon+$5,287.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Anyone's Legend44c11,006$4,791 inLost-$4,790.932,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Bilibili Gaming45c10,891$4,874 inWon+$6,017.2745547.7%217 W · 238 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Anyone's Legend27c10,816$2,868 inLost-$2,868.3770641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6452backed Bilibili Gaming59c10,083$5,937 inWon+$4,146.287582.7%62 W · 13 L+18.1wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa9bc…d6d1backed Anyone's Legend2c10,000$200 inLost-$20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Anyone's Legend44c9,974$4,389 inLost-$4,388.5638735.9%139 W · 248 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Bilibili Gaming46c9,007$4,149 inWon+$4,858.1155639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming59c8,706$5,132 inWon+$3,573.791,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Bilibili Gaming74c8,207$6,077 inWon+$2,129.9717844.4%79 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Bilibili Gaming66c7,593$4,989 inWon+$2,604.3567853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Anyone's Legend43c7,210$3,082 inLost-$3,082.2630345.2%137 W · 166 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Anyone's Legend48c7,091$3,424 inLost-$3,423.7712236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bilibili Gaming56c6,934$3,883 inWon+$3,050.961,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed Bilibili Gaming52c6,771$3,500 inWon+$3,271.416851.5%35 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Anyone's Legend49c6,473$3,160 inLost-$3,159.877431.1%23 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Bilibili Gaming56c6,000$3,360 inWon+$2,6408951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Bilibili Gaming80c5,860$4,672 inWon+$1,187.716362.6%102 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Anyone's Legend43c5,814$2,500 inLost-$2,499.957349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming65c5,673$3,700 inWon+$1,972.262,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Anyone's Legend45c5,605$2,522 inLost-$2,522.1417648.3%85 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Bilibili Gaming69c5,393$3,717 inWon+$1,676.6334351.3%176 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9d36backed Bilibili Gaming56c5,357$3,000 inWon+$2,357.082142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed Bilibili Gaming71c5,300$3,787 inWon+$1,512.9811247.3%53 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Anyone's Legend29c5,166$1,493 inLost-$1,492.7459459.1%351 W · 243 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Bilibili Gaming54c5,000$2,700 inWon+$2,30030945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed Bilibili Gaming46c5,000$2,300 inWon+$2,7009955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Bilibili Gaming80c5,000$4,000 inWon+$1,0001,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Anyone's Legend43c5,000$2,170 inLost-$2,169.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Bilibili Gaming57c4,971$2,834 inWon+$2,137.71,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Anyone's Legend51c4,791$2,456 inLost-$2,456.487443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed Bilibili Gaming54c4,711$2,550 inWon+$2,160.9814360.8%87 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd305…fdfebacked Anyone's Legend57c4,350$2,480 inLost-$2,479.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Bilibili Gaming61c4,222$2,561 inWon+$1,661.2916058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…bb53backed Bilibili Gaming64c4,217$2,678 inWon+$1,539.143275%24 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked Anyone's Legend59c4,209$2,466 inLost-$2,466.4434448.8%168 W · 176 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Bilibili Gaming55c4,058$2,239 inWon+$1,819.2355056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Anyone's Legend43c4,000$1,707 inLost-$1,706.6647933.2%159 W · 320 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Bilibili Gaming51c4,000$2,020 inWon+$1,979.9832345.5%147 W · 176 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff1d…3dfcbacked Bilibili Gaming75c3,613$2,700 inWon+$913.072281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Bilibili Gaming74c3,600$2,664 inWon+$93610541.9%44 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa043…b419backed Bilibili Gaming57c3,574$2,037 inWon+$1,537.1710543.8%46 W · 59 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Anyone's Legend44c3,409$1,500 inLost-$1,50029843.3%129 W · 169 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Anyone's Legend37c3,171$1,178 inLost-$1,177.511,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bilibili Gaming56c3,125$1,750 inWon+$1,3751,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bilibili Gaming47c3,099$1,456 inWon+$1,642.431,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Bilibili Gaming56c3,000$1,680 inWon+$1,3201,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Anyone's Legend1c3,000$30 inLost-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed Anyone's Legend50c3,000$1,500 inLost-$1,50012040.8%49 W · 71 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Anyone's Legend48c3,000$1,428 inLost-$1,427.9923645.3%107 W · 129 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,883$1,943 inWon+$940.0520621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Anyone's Legend43c2,850$1,225 inLost-$1,225.491,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Anyone's Legend37c2,793$1,042 inLost-$1,042.041,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bilibili Gaming73c2,693$1,953 inWon+$740.471,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde3…e14bbacked Anyone's Legend57c2,664$1,514 inLost-$1,514.0410547.6%50 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Anyone's Legend20c2,628$537 inLost-$536.686647%31 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Anyone's Legend30c2,575$777 inLost-$777.362158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeaf…1779backed Anyone's Legend56c2,502$1,395 inLost-$1,394.962268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Anyone's Legend40c2,462$983 inLost-$983.2134536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x663f…d329backed Anyone's Legend46c2,417$1,120 inLost-$1,120.265151%26 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Bilibili Gaming55c2,333$1,283 inWon+$1,049.8521049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Anyone's Legend41c2,318$950 inLost-$949.7381443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Anyone's Legend17c2,250$385 inLost-$384.9868915.2%105 W · 584 L-31.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Bilibili Gaming47c2,107$1,000 inWon+$1,106.9167457.3%386 W · 288 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x131d…3d39backed Anyone's Legend35c2,100$727 inLost-$727.463342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0103…5ca8backed Anyone's Legend56c2,093$1,169 inLost-$1,168.67162%44 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Anyone's Legend44c2,091$920 inLost-$92061055.7%340 W · 270 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Anyone's Legend18c2,024$359 inLost-$359.112036.7%44 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Anyone's Legend35c2,020$716 inLost-$71623432.5%76 W · 158 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked Anyone's Legend53c2,001$1,065 inLost-$1,064.7218452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Bilibili Gaming52c2,000$1,040 inWon+$96090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming57c2,000$1,140 inWon+$8601,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Bilibili Gaming79c2,000$1,580 inWon+$4209533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x958b…50cebacked Anyone's Legend42c2,000$840 inLost-$840.35034%17 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed Anyone's Legend32c2,000$640 inLost-$64022852.6%120 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd016…6114backed Bilibili Gaming56c2,000$1,120 inWon+$879.996233.9%21 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Anyone's Legend54c2,000$1,080 inLost-$1,079.9922059.5%131 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.