Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68b03dc417abfe3a3e89f5fa0ddb5b8e0b22e155822409ecb2212d1f0b1c7a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 52c | 2,934$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.36 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…5d19backed Over | 52c | 2,215$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 46c | 1,023$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.78 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 46c | 536.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 47c | 517.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Under | 46c | 433.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 54c | 414.49$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 363.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Under | 47c | 338.3$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 133.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 46c | 104.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Under | 46c | 62.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Under | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Under | 46c | 29.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 49c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.