Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9793a010798825c4e1f34de81867e5b594bccc1f02dcb66deecb5ae1ff9651d4

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under	51c	5,555$2,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,832.99	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over	51c	5,000$2,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,424.98	223	55.2%123 W · 100 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	3,974$2,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.37	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	48c	3,810$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.91	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	52c	1,552$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.9	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	48c	1,460$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.16	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	49c	1,118$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.33	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under	52c	999.98$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.99	470	47.4%223 W · 247 L	+24.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	50c	790.79$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.04	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over	49c	657.5$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.17	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over	53c	472.68$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.67	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	123	40.7%50 W · 73 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over	51c	405.88$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.88	371	61.7%229 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under	49c	405.88$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.88	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	45c	332.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.15	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	48c	240$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	48c	229.17$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.17	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over	49c	207.06$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.6	137	35%48 W · 89 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Under	29c	203.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	165	43%71 W · 94 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	16c	197.66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	55c	187$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.22	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	65c	173.27$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.57	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	49c	157.5$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.18	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaac…8069backed Over	49c	142.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.86	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	51c	122.94$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.19	386	40.4%156 W · 230 L	-17.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Over	49c	122.14$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.29	356	47.5%169 W · 187 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	49c	121.24$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.23	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	427	51.5%220 W · 207 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	176	50%88 W · 88 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under	42c	98.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	69c	96.77$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	222	65.3%145 W · 77 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over	49c	96.16$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.04	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	57c	93.79$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.75	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under	53c	91.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	1,024	45%461 W · 563 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under	37c	90.35$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under	29c	86.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.73	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under	42c	79.51$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5525…7d01backed Over	49c	77.22$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	65cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	51c	70.08$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.74	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	44c	69.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under	48c	68.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	101	50.5%51 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	45c	62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under	50c	60.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed Under	38c	59.38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	48c	58.87$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.61	246	42.3%104 W · 142 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacd…4d5abacked Over	55c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over	49c	54.35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	52c	53.54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.7	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6923…7592backed Over	48c	52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	38c	51.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	403	65%262 W · 141 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344c…b454backed Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	194	70.6%137 W · 57 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	52c	48.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	246	43.1%106 W · 140 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0096…0d85backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x240e…eb16backed Under	52c	40.37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…f9e4backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	49c	39.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…9ee8backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	47c	31.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.96	373	43.4%162 W · 211 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5457…2eaabacked Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+84%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under	44c	30.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a6…b8d3backed Over	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Under	54c	22.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.11	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Over	66c	21.58$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	211	55%116 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event