TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ce5…02b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,862.59
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.08
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.24
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,146.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.85
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.16
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.96
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.9
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,420.97
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$213.01
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
Will Watford FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bristol City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.94
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$126.9
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$142.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.