NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af030e44653087a9517664bbeaca3a781a7c39922aa2170e8a11d6dc17ef92c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Rangers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Capitals | 57c | 105,937$60,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,214.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 78c | 63,272$49,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,025.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rangers | 43c | 25,146$10,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,850.86 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rangers | 43c | 20,320$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.74 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 42c | 18,947$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers | 43c | 13,757$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.83 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 71c | 13,367$9,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.32 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 41c | 12,323$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.17 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rangers | 41c | 11,252$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.15 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Rangers | 36c | 8,355$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers | 43c | 8,305$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.98 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 57c | 7,849$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.2 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 74c | 7,410$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.38 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Capitals | 59c | 6,546$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.66 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Rangers | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 56c | 5,457$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.88 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…42b0backed Capitals | 57c | 5,430$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers | 44c | 4,596$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Capitals | 57c | 4,476$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Rangers | 19c | 4,451$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.53 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 57c | 4,302$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.85 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Capitals | 54c | 4,114$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Capitals | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Rangers | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Rangers | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.97 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 41c | 3,811$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.43 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 57c | 3,196$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.87 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Rangers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Rangers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c8…b6d7backed Rangers | 46c | 2,824$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 42c | 2,510$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.16 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Capitals | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rangers | 43c | 2,480$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Capitals | 57c | 2,404$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.51 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rangers | 43c | 2,359$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.23 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rangers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 42c | 2,023$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.66 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 78c | 1,995$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 56c | 1,970$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers | 42c | 1,948$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rangers | 1c | 1,888$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rangers | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,732$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.72 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Capitals | 58c | 1,723$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.14 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Rangers | 43c | 1,651$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 79c | 1,647$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Rangers | 42c | 1,571$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…9d40backed Rangers | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 78c | 1,501$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rangers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Capitals | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Rangers | 39c | 1,478$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.79 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Capitals | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Capitals | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 42c | 1,346$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…245dbacked Capitals | 80c | 1,253$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Rangers | 42c | 1,209$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.62 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Rangers | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…e279backed Capitals | 59c | 1,190$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,100$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 70c | 1,065$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rangers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…ab78backed Rangers | 42c | 970$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…7291backed Capitals | 58c | 970$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…18cabacked Capitals | 58c | 965$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…ef90backed Rangers | 42c | 965$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…7a7bbacked Rangers | 42c | 955$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…3558backed Capitals | 58c | 955$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…204abacked Rangers | 42c | 955$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…0dfcbacked Capitals | 58c | 955$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 58c | 947.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Rangers | 42c | 935$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…1a5abacked Capitals | 58c | 935$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…c76cbacked Capitals | 58c | 910$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…c4f6backed Rangers | 42c | 910$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdde…7d8cbacked Capitals | 58c | 910$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…56f8backed Rangers | 42c | 910$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…45e4backed Capitals | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…eb2dbacked Rangers | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Rangers | 38c | 900$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7619…9f85backed Capitals | 58c | 895$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 42c | 895$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f257backed Capitals | 58c | 895$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…b878backed Rangers | 42c | 895$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -8.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…62c4backed Rangers | 42c | 895$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…eb5abacked Rangers | 42c | 890$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…903bbacked Capitals | 58c | 890$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37f…a7ddbacked Rangers | 42c | 890$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…8c9abacked Rangers | 42c | 890$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…8b10backed Capitals | 58c | 890$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…eec4backed Capitals | 58c | 890$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Capitalsthis page
- Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.