TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under50c60,073$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c20,192$9,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,207.582,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c16,661$8,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,163.7888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under48c10,710$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.8667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c7,267$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.761,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c6,452$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.642,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over53c5,425$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.756653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c4,786$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.511,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over52c4,683$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.828251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under47c4,572$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.9383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Over51c4,367$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.831752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c2,571$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.211,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c2,178$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.7193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c2,121$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over53c1,622$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.312941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c1,599$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.5284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over53c1,368$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over52c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50083149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over53c785.96$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.414065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8ca…85b9backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…6bb6backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddd…9dccbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9a…5c35backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x716f…a112backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d29…2805backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b04…a610backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da3…1400backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc744…5f87backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa956…1abfbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fa…71ffbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc6e…27fabacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4e…d0b9backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f6…d0d8backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c93…b31dbacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb861…5220backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d03…077ebacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b2…2114backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…3377backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7260…ceabbacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6d…2b05backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f2…6bc6backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2640…b714backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357d…f462backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7b…2339backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…cbe9backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ece…041dbacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf271…125ebacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…c094backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb8…e571backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d0…daf4backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fa…4406backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…cb4dbacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee0…9675backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7813…729ebacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb9…9b90backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b1…bb14backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed89…7f99backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23dd…6e07backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b3…d783backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e8…63aebacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc927…e3d0backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe2…dc06backed Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…06acbacked Under48c710$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57c…5b2bbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…854fbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb98…be01backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e26…1b00backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e1…c25abacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0c…c4a7backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…ee5ebacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…7e57backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5013…c8acbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe758…eb8fbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…0975backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…5171backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce84…b9babacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bf…cefabacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0127…40f7backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…8d0cbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820f…ae80backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8b…2a56backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9636…7988backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d9a…7c14backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f8…c66cbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…bb27backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…94c2backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16d…a9afbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2c…b971backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d8…5e09backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1a…ca07backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c98…0423backed Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562a…83febacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.