TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof EDward Gaming, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$827,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,025,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Team WE63c63,881$40,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,636.1222451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming13c60,200$7,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,892.342,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming37c33,333$12,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,333.2153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed EDward Gaming19c18,815$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.0781143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team WE64c16,904$10,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,085.311,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebd…b66abacked Team WE77c16,147$12,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.274564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed EDward Gaming1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Team WE74c14,930$11,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,88967276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EDward Gaming39c14,883$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,765.041,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed EDward Gaming39c14,508$5,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,690.4248149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed Team WE58c13,986$8,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,897.7111367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed EDward Gaming26c12,649$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.359941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed EDward Gaming38c12,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.8722355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked EDward Gaming34c11,972$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.9832555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team WE63c11,275$7,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,204.041,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team WE64c11,176$7,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.273857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Team WE65c11,000$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8504450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked EDward Gaming22c10,203$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.6333949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked EDward Gaming36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Team WE63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9608951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed EDward Gaming36c7,610$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.3330843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked EDward Gaming37c7,352$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72229945.8%137 W · 162 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed EDward Gaming44c6,474$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.6145248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed EDward Gaming29c5,924$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.2920621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed EDward Gaming26c5,869$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.8930546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed EDward Gaming16c5,628$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89989347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team WE63c5,540$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.5817444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE63c5,446$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.021,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed EDward Gaming39c5,404$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10017933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed EDward Gaming36c5,338$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.3721347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming35c5,300$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.911,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Team WE61c4,903$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.0634536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Team WE77c4,564$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.9631644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team WE70c4,484$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.841,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed EDward Gaming26c4,203$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.3522640.7%92 W · 134 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…bd58backed Team WE70c3,998$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.3616043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Team WE64c3,974$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.551546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdde3…e14bbacked EDward Gaming28c3,776$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.9410547.6%50 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed EDward Gaming36c3,727$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.175554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed EDward Gaming49c3,689$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.711,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Team WE62c3,596$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.2530554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed EDward Gaming12c3,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed EDward Gaming41c3,478$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.2427346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6e6…25bebacked EDward Gaming12c3,167$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.663850%19 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19c0…c8cdbacked EDward Gaming36c3,120$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.23020%6 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed EDward Gaming36c2,865$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.448448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed EDward Gaming35c2,850$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.526729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming33c2,842$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.742,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked EDward Gaming37c2,630$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.132145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team WE63c2,563$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.411,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EDward Gaming15c2,559$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292f…7fc2backed Team WE65c2,538$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.046259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE60c2,512$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0101,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team WE62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team WE45c2,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.4411643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df1…03e1backed Team WE79c2,382$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7111276.8%86 W · 26 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a22…5405backed Team WE46c2,344$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed EDward Gaming36c2,312$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.3316456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team WE64c2,250$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81021049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed EDward Gaming34c2,243$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.6219041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Team WE72c2,221$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.8851348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed EDward Gaming54c2,209$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.3764247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea4…be49backed EDward Gaming4c2,022$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3512717.3%22 W · 105 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed EDward Gaming25c2,020$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7697427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Team WE66c2,019$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.7967553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team WE64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed EDward Gaming58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.8489943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed EDward Gaming35c1,932$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.193545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed EDward Gaming35c1,888$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.86848.5%33 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…16abbacked EDward Gaming45c1,791$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81013456.7%76 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EDward Gaming11c1,778$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.851,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…bb53backed Team WE76c1,733$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.433275%24 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Team WE64c1,700$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.5827745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed EDward Gaming62c1,615$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Team WE63c1,593$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0615443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dec…faa0backed Team WE46c1,506$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.345632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed EDward Gaming35c1,501$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.342646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked EDward Gaming12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked EDward Gaming35c1,490$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.55850%29 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Team WE65c1,482$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.828055%44 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed EDward Gaming30c1,443$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5740726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed EDward Gaming39c1,439$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9932045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7374…f266backed EDward Gaming28c1,430$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team WE64c1,405$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8246050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed EDward Gaming31c1,312$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.323332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Team WE69c1,304$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3458559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked EDward Gaming34c1,295$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4457847.4%37 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed EDward Gaming35c1,251$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1835542.3%150 W · 205 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EDward Gaming37c1,250$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…d607backed EDward Gaming45c1,214$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.075151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Team WE63c1,206$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.1718459.8%110 W · 74 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked EDward Gaming35c1,200$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.589050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked EDward Gaming36c1,186$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.964856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team WE50c1,185$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.111,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed EDward Gaming5c1,165$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2410128.7%29 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Team WE69c1,118$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7948763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Team WE58c1,100$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46314359.4%85 W · 58 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed EDward Gaming37c1,097$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.8912350.4%62 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team WE63c1,089$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9359554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d2…8850backed Team WE67c1,081$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.