Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d1f21d63357e2f21ca4724a2634754e867ea3c7ccb086ecef7fe4a6320d08b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 1,996$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.63 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,292$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.16 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Under | 55c | 810.61$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.77 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 614.43$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 53c | 439.26$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 50c | 415.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Over | 46c | 343.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 50c | 326.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 36c | 267.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 54c | 261$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 46c | 240.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 215.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 68c | 189.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 45c | 129.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 55c | 119.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…3193backed Under | 55c | 112.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 47c | 86.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 50c | 83.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 77.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 33c | 77.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…2d79backed Over | 48c | 60.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…4d5abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 54c | 41.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 54c | 41.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb577…cd4ebacked Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 29.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 59c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…749ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team WE won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Team WE won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.