Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26dc89968add49c9d4535b9d57055c014b3314f653401e8a31316b2bafa54f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 4,955$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.64 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,357$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 3,220$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 14c | 2,860$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,359$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,204$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 1,992$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,606$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 15c | 1,547$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 13c | 1,499$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 12c | 1,442$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 1,233$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 8c | 805.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 3c | 752.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 4c | 622.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 4c | 612.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 4c | 532.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 528.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 4c | 522.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 3c | 498$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 458.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes | 4c | 391.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Yes | 4c | 262.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 10c | 199.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 15c | 175$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 13c | 174.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…ce08backed Yes | 15c | 168.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4280…cb8cbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…55c6backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…e056backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…0725backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 13c | 139$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…065abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 14c | 131.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 15c | 130.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 111.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…e3acbacked Yes | 15c | 92.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…6823backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 15c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sudan win on 2025-12-31?this page
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.