TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No73c7,139$5,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes30c5,760$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.966132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes30c3,155$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.039636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Yes39c2,500$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.31010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c2,007$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No69c1,914$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.494669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes32c1,546$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.685334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c1,400$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40321444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes16c1,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes32c1,150$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No67c793.69$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5913654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes31c750$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.046253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c702.03$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7217338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c645$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8530031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c630.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No68c625$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.567247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes31c580.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No69c544.38$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.766845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No67c539$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes31c521$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.941833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes16c499$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8418438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes33c456.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No75c401.59$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.777032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No71c329.41$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes32c310$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No67c286.57$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.577258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes33c285.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2510630.2%32 W · 74 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes35c283.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No63c262.55$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1414537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes31c224.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2555942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2370%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No60c188.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3320322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Yes31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No61c172$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0812047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No69c167.61$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.964845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Yes32c162$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes32c155.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504055%22 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…b019backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes15c149.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes31c144$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6421016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No66c143.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.831560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866966.7%46 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Yes30c131.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes32c124$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x964f…ca58backed Yes17c119.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Yes33c113.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes17c111.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.892548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…6823backed No68c107.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc849…204dbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Yes32c99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed No68c88.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.222441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes31c88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2812657.1%72 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes31c73.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.077030%21 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes32c62.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.847350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes32c58.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.792147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No68c55.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…b10abacked Yes32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Yes31c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes30c45.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.713141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154560%27 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked No68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes33c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed No68c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes31c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No70c37.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.143857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed No68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No70c36.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8914948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No64c34.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed No68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked No69c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed No68c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed No68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19a…6c7abacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb690…3ae5backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.