Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc74830218d6c64d22921e113346ae4166d17fa3cea9e22337dd5144c86201ebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 27,859$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.78 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 3c | 16,665$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.51 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 19c | 15,087$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,828$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…5309backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 3,549$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.84 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed No | 76c | 3,114$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…e083backed Yes | 6c | 2,853$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 2,848$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 2,688$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.01 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,274$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 1,542$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…5680backed Yes | 3c | 999.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 913.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 894.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 15c | 750$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 710.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 23c | 699.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 18c | 608.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Yes | 8c | 547.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 19c | 482.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 7c | 399.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…41a8backed No | 75c | 342.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 26c | 334.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 77c | 258$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 6c | 219.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 71c | 210.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19d…ff90backed Yes | 29c | 210.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 209.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 21c | 201.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 163.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 150.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 149.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…bc84backed No | 75c | 130.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 75c | 127.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 14c | 126.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…0f3bbacked No | 77c | 120.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed No | 77c | 118.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 77c | 110.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Yes | 17c | 107.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 12c | 107.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 78c | 70.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…4e07backed Yes | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6c14backed Yes | 17c | 65.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 76c | 62.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…abc3backed Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 25c | 53.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…941abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…bf1ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 79c | 30.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…565dbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed No | 77c | 21.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…d629backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
- Will Uganda vs. Nigeria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.